Grain Deal: Erdogan Optimistic, Putin Resistant
Turkey and the United Nations are trying hard to revive the safe export of Ukrainian grain through the Black Sea, but Putin remains an obstacle.
Turkey and the United Nations are trying hard to revive the safe export of Ukrainian grain through the Black Sea, but Putin remains an obstacle.
Russia expands its attacks, hitting Ukrainian ports on the Danube.
A stone in the EU’s shoe is a Poland-led loose alliance of five nations bordering Ukraine that, in a bid to protect their farmers, wish to extend a ban on the sale of Ukrainian grain, a demand that if not met, some warn they will satisfy unilaterally.
While Russia has claimed its pre-dawn strikes were successful and destroyed the desired targets, Ukraine has insisted its air defense systems intercepted all the cruise missiles launched and the vast majority of the kamikaze drones deployed.
On multiple occasions, Russia threatened to quit the initiative because its demands to lift sanctions on Russia’s logistical and financial sectors, which hamstrung its own grain and fertilizer exports, had not been met.
Moscow demands concessions so that the West’s sanctions do not obstruct the free flow of its own agricultural exports.
Russia finds itself in a better negotiating position than even just two months ago.
Russian dissatisfaction with the deal—which allows Ukraine to ship grain through Russia’s blockade—casts a shadow over its future.
UN chief Antonio Guterres expressed his deep commitment to remove the “remaining obstacles to the unimpeded exports of Russian food and fertilizers,” as these remain “essential” to avoid a food crisis next year.
A key consideration—and main reason for the hold-up—is Russia’s demand that restrictions on its exports of agricultural products be lifted; in the pursuit of that goal, Russia is using its participation as a bargaining chip.