Europe in Slow-Moving Recession
In country after country, the economy is getting worse. What can governments do about it?
In country after country, the economy is getting worse. What can governments do about it?
If neither wages nor energy prices can explain why the ECB is right in being concerned about persistent inflation, then what can explain it? There is a candidate that nobody wants to talk about: taxes.
While the stars are lining up for another fiscal crisis in Europe, the ECB’s chief economist fails to even mention the threat. Is the ECB ignorant on what is coming down the pike?
The ‘solidarity income’ kept recipients from the labour market, according to Meloni. The new scheme focuses on people who cannot easily return to work, such as families with disabled people, minors, and people over 60.
New data suggests an elevated risk for stagflation in Europe. Policymakers beware!
With a welfare state that dominates their budgets, European governments are exceedingly vulnerable to a recession. When tax revenue declines and entitlements force governments to spend more, the inevitable result is larger budget deficits. What will the ECB do in response to that?
The highest current unemployment rates in the EU are found in Spain (12.4%) and Greece (12.2%); among the lowest are Hungary (3.5%) and the Netherlands (3.8%).
From 2021 to 2022, youth unemployment declined from 16.3% to 14.2% in the euro zone and from 16.1% to 14.0% in the EU.
While it is correct that a recession is defined by two consecutive quarters of declining GDP, it is not correct that the American GDP declined two quarters in a row. Unfortunately, all the economists and analysts who made the recession call were wrong.
The mass exodus of men returning to fight against the Russian invasion has left industries in Central Europe in a labour lurch.
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