Ireland’s dominant centrist parties, Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael, have finalised a coalition deal that ensures their continued grip on power. Despite mounting social and economic crises, the new government—bolstered by support from various independents—signals little hope for significant change.
The arrangement highlights a familiar pattern in European politics: entrenched elites preserving their influence while dismissing public outcry over urgent issues like housing shortages, healthcare crises, and immigration.
The coalition, set to take office on January 22nd, will be a return to politics-as-usual, with Fianna Fáil’s Micheál Martin expected to hold the office of Taoiseach (prime minister) until 2027, while Fine Gael’s Simon Harris assumes the role of Tánaiste (deputy PM). They have promised to bring stability and a lowered VAT rate for hospitality sectors. However, critics argue these measures are superficial and neglect the big challenges that working-class communities face.
The coalition’s formation comes against a backdrop of growing unease over immigration, with multiple protests over the past year. From arson attacks on proposed asylum centers to large-scale demonstrations in Dublin, public frustration with the government’s perceived prioritization of migrants over Irish citizens is palpable. This discontent reflects deeper anxieties about a nation grappling with a housing crisis, strained public services, and rising crime rates.
Meanwhile, Israel’s decision to shut its Dublin embassy has drawn international attention. Citing Ireland’s “extreme anti-Israel policy,” the move follows Dublin’s controversial support for legal actions against Israel in the International Court of Justice. Critics, including Israeli officials, have decried Ireland’s stance as antisemitic and dangerously one-sided, further straining Ireland’s diplomatic relations. The incoming government is unlikely to change position.
Domestically, Ireland faces accusations of embracing an authoritarian and ideologically driven agenda. The introduction of ‘hate speech’ legislation and the overhaul of educational curricula to prioritize progressive ideologies have fueled concerns about diminishing freedoms. Critics argue that Ireland has become a “woke capital” where dissent is stifled.
The new coalition’s reliance on conservative independents has led some to speculate about a potential rightward policy shift. However, their limited influence makes significant change unlikely. Instead, the government appears poised to maintain the status quo, prioritizing superficial changes while ignoring grassroots demands for accountability and reform.