According to surveys, the right-wing populist Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) continues to hold its lead in voter support and remains ahead of the CDU/CSU among German voters. In the latest ‘Sunday poll’ conducted by the Insa polling institute for Bild, the AfD would again receive 26% of the vote, while the CDU/CSU would get 25%.
The SPD remains steady at 15%, while the Greens have slightly improved to 12%. Leftist Die Linke stands at 11%, Sahra Wagenknecht’s Alliance (BSW) at 4% percent, and the FDP at just 3%. Other parties account for 4%.
In theory, 45% of the vote would be enough for a parliamentary majority, but traditional coalitions would still fall short: a CDU/CSU-SPD alliance would reach only 40%, similar to previous results, while an SPD-Greens-FDP coalition would achieve just 38%. In contrast, a joint AfD–CDU/CSU alliance would have a clear majority with 51%.
Satisfaction with the coalition government has also continued to decline. According to Insa, the promised “autumn of reforms” has had no effect on public opinion. Even among CDU/CSU voters, 39% are dissatisfied with the government’s performance, as are 49% of SPD voters.
