Poland’s conservative opposition Law and Justice party (PiS) would secure victory if parliamentary elections were held this Sunday, according to a new opinion poll.
The survey indicates PiS would win 29% of the vote—a 1.6 percentage point increase compared with the previous poll.
The centrist Civic Coalition (KO), currently the main government force, would come second with 27.1%, a decline of one point.
The opposition nationalist right-wing Konfederacja would take third place with 13.2%, while a smaller government party The Left (Lewica) would enter parliament on 7.4%.
Other parties, including the coalition’s Polish People’s Party (PSL) and Poland 2050 would fail to cross the electoral threshold. Smaller groupings would also remain outside the parliament.
Based on the projected seat distribution, PiS would win 193 mandates, KO 165, Konfederacja 73, and the Left 29. This would give PiS and Konfederacja a combined total of 266 seats, ensuring a clear parliamentary majority.
The next parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in two years’ time.
