Most Finns Want to Join NATO

A clear majority, 65-77% among center-right voters, want Finland to join NATO, while only 39% of voters for the radical Vänsterförbundet are in favor.

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A clear majority, 65-77% among center-right voters, want Finland to join NATO, while only 39% of voters for the radical Vänsterförbundet are in favor.

In an opinion poll by Finnish broadcaster Yle, reported by Hufvudstadsbladet, Finland’s foremost Swedish-language newspaper, 62% of all respondents approve of Finnish NATO membership. This is up from 53% in late February. 

One in four would like Finland to hold a referendum on the membership, while 77% say that if neighboring Sweden joins NATO, Finland should follow. 

When broken down by party affiliation, support for NATO membership is stronger among conservative voters than those leaning left. A clear majority, 65-77% among center-right voters, want Finland to join the defense alliance, while only 39% of voters for the radical Vänsterförbundet are in favor. 

In a membership poll by Finland’s alliance of military reservists, 80% of the 5,000 respondents favored a NATO membership. This is up from 64% in February. 

While support for a NATO membership is relatively strong in Finland, Swedes appear to be less ready to join the alliance. In a poll by Global Politics on March 5th, 46% of all respondents favored Swedish NATO membership. While lower than in Finland, this is a major increase since December last year, when less than a third replied favorably to Sweden joining NATO.

Another poll, published on March 4th by Swedish newspaper Aftonbladet, shows a 51% majority for Swedish membership. Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson recently made clear that she does not intend to pursue a Swedish NATO membership. She envisions stronger defense ties with neighboring Finland as well as with both the United States and the EU, but is not ready to support membership. 

Unlike the socialist prime minister, five center-right parties in the Swedish parliament, the Riksdag, are in favor of Sweden joining the defense alliance. Given the general election in September, NATO membership could become a major campaign issue for the Riksdag’s two opposing alliances, the socialists and the center right. 

Sven R Larson, Ph.D., has worked as a staff economist for think tanks and as an advisor to political campaigns. He is the author of several academic papers and books. His writings concentrate on the welfare state, how it causes economic stagnation, and the reforms needed to reduce the negative impact of big government. On Twitter, he is @S_R_Larson and he writes regularly at Larson’s Political Economy on Substack.

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