A new report analysing migration, birth and death rates predicts that white Britons—currently making up around 73% of the UK population—will become a minority in less than four decades.
London and Birmingham were already revealed to be minority white British in the 2022 census.
Now, research by political academic Matthew Goodwin suggests that white Britons will make up just 57% of the population by 2050 before slipping below 50% in 2063. By the end of the century, they will make up just over a third of the national population, while the share of the population that is non-White will stand at 59.3%.
This change, brought about by years of mass migration under both Labour and Conservative governments, has never been backed at the ballot box. In fact, voters have expressed their support for far tougher border controls on countless occasions—including, most notably by voting for Brexit—but have been betrayed at every turn.
It will have a particular impact on the nation’s culture—what’s left of it. Historian and New Culture Forum fellow Rafe Heydel-Mankoo asked following the release of similarly concerning figures last year:
How can we expect minorities to integrate when the indigenous population is itself a minority?
Goodwin also wrote this week in The Daily Telegraph that Britain will soon “witness profound changes in where people were born.”
A population where most people can trace their roots on these islands back over multiple generations will make way for one in which a majority were born overseas, or born to at least one parent who was born overseas.
The ties to our nation—to its sense of history, culture, ways of life and collective memory—will become much weaker.


