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Tag: euro zone

Fiscal Forecast: Sweden in the Euro? Part II

Sven R. Larson July 6, 2023

A euro-zone membership would put Sweden on a fast track to a fiscal crisis like the one in the 1990s. That would be bad: the country cannot absorb the fallout from repeating its disastrous mistakes from back then.

Fiscal Forecast: Sweden in the Euro? Part I

Sven R. Larson July 5, 2023

If Sweden were to join the euro, its economy would be less unstable, but more stagnant. The situation for Swedish households and domestic-oriented businesses would go from bad to worse.

Fiscal Forecast: Should Hungary Join the Euro?

Sven R. Larson June 8, 2023

Judging from the comments by central bank president György Matolcsy, Hungary could join the euro in 2030 or soon thereafter. Would such a membership be good for Hungary?

Housing Loans Hardest To Get Since 2011

Bridget Ryder May 6, 2023

According to the data and predictions of economists, the worst of the inflation spike may have passed but interest rates will still go up in the coming months and banks will be hawkish, imposing the tightest requirements for lending since 2011.

Fiscal Forecast Europe: ECB Will Soon Return to Money Printing

Sven R. Larson April 13, 2023

With a welfare state that dominates their budgets, European governments are exceedingly vulnerable to a recession. When tax revenue declines and entitlements force governments to spend more, the inevitable result is larger budget deficits. What will the ECB do in response to that?

Transatlantic Trade Tensions on the Rise

Sven R. Larson November 24, 2022

While the cost of doing business in Europe has increased dramatically in the last year, the euro has also lost value against the dollar. The depreciation benefits euro-zone exports to America.

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