inflation | The European Conservative

Fiscal Forecast: How To Identify a Recession

Sven R. Larson June 15, 2023

There was a lot of media attention recently to Germany being in a recession. The only problem is that those who said so, were wrong. Here is why.

Fiscal Forecast Europe: Is Inflation Here to Stay?

Sven R. Larson May 25, 2023

If neither wages nor energy prices can explain why the ECB is right in being concerned about persistent inflation, then what can explain it? There is a candidate that nobody wants to talk about: taxes.

Housing Loans Hardest To Get Since 2011

Bridget Ryder May 6, 2023

According to the data and predictions of economists, the worst of the inflation spike may have passed but interest rates will still go up in the coming months and banks will be hawkish, imposing the tightest requirements for lending since 2011.

Fiscal Forecast Europe: ECB Silent on New Fiscal Crisis

Sven R. Larson May 4, 2023

While the stars are lining up for another fiscal crisis in Europe, the ECB’s chief economist fails to even mention the threat. Is the ECB ignorant on what is coming down the pike?

Fiscal Forecast Europe: Signs of Stagflation

Sven R. Larson April 26, 2023

New data suggests an elevated risk for stagflation in Europe. Policymakers beware!

Germany: Union Strikes Cripple Rail Network and Airports

Robert Semonsen April 21, 2023

The strikes brought Germany’s entire rail network to a standstill and resulted in more than 90,000 passengers being affected by flight cancellations.

Fiscal Forecast Europe: ECB Will Soon Return to Money Printing

Sven R. Larson April 13, 2023

With a welfare state that dominates their budgets, European governments are exceedingly vulnerable to a recession. When tax revenue declines and entitlements force governments to spend more, the inevitable result is larger budget deficits. What will the ECB do in response to that?

Fiscal Forecast America: Update on Recession and Debt Crisis

Sven R. Larson April 12, 2023

If government size and employment rate had been the same in 2022 as they were in 2000, the cost of today’s government would have been $47,000 per employed person. That is a lot of money—until we do the same arithmetic with today’s government size and employment rate. Then the cost comes out to $59,700.

Germany: Transport Strikes To Freeze Country on Monday

Tadhg Pidgeon March 25, 2023

German’s national train operator has announced that all long-distance trains will be cancelled, and the Frankfurt airport has cancelled all regular flights.

Banking Crisis: Déjà-Vu All Over Again?

Sven R. Larson March 22, 2023

Several news sources have raised the volume about a possible systemwide banking crisis. I am not going to contribute to that. In fact, we should all be careful about determining whether or not such a crisis is at hand.

Tag: inflation

Fiscal Forecast: How To Identify a Recession

Fiscal Forecast Europe: Is Inflation Here to Stay?

Housing Loans Hardest To Get Since 2011

Fiscal Forecast Europe: ECB Silent on New Fiscal Crisis

Fiscal Forecast Europe: Signs of Stagflation

Germany: Union Strikes Cripple Rail Network and Airports

Fiscal Forecast Europe: ECB Will Soon Return to Money Printing

Fiscal Forecast America: Update on Recession and Debt Crisis

Germany: Transport Strikes To Freeze Country on Monday

Banking Crisis: Déjà-Vu All Over Again?

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Summer 2024, Issue 31

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