EU Inflation Has Peaked

Barring any rebounds in January, inflation has evidently peaked in 24 of the 27 EU member states.

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Barring any rebounds in January, inflation has evidently peaked in 24 of the 27 EU member states.

In its monthly update on inflation, Eurostat reports that the inflation rate for the European Union as a whole was 10.4% in December. This is down from 11.1% in November and 11.5% in October.

The 19-country euro zone (Croatia made it 20 on January 1st) had an inflation rate of 9.2%. Following the EU as a whole, this was also a decline from previous months: 10.1% in November and 10.6% in October.

Barring any rebounds in January, inflation has evidently peaked in 24 of the 27 EU member states:

  • In 10 member states, the top inflation rate was recorded in October;
  • In 4 states, November represented the peak;
  • In 5 states, the top month was September.

Some countries have experienced a protracted inflation top, stretching out over two months. The French economy topped at 11.1% in October and November; Italy peaked at 12.6% in the same two months. Luxembourg and Malta had their highest inflation rates in September and October: 8.8% and 7.4%, respectively.

Three countries have yet to see the top of their inflation rates. In Hungary, December inflation reached 25%, up from 23.1% in November and 21.9% in October. This is currently the highest rate in the EU. 

Slovenian inflation was 10.8% in both November and December. Technically, the country’s rate peaked in July at 11.7%, but after falling to 10.3% in October it has ticked up again and shows no signs of declining. 

Sweden is home to a similarly persistent trend. After topping out at 10.3% in September, the Swedish inflation rate fell to 9.8% in October and has since risen again: 10.1% in November and 10.8% in December. 

Hungary is not the only country with more than 20% inflation. Latvia is at 20.7%, with the rate slowly declining from the 22% peak in September. The Lithuanian rate for December of 20% is also a modest decline from September when it reached 22.5%.

With 5.5%, Spain currently has the lowest inflation rate in the European Union.

Sven R Larson, Ph.D., has worked as a staff economist for think tanks and as an advisor to political campaigns. He is the author of several academic papers and books. His writings concentrate on the welfare state, how it causes economic stagnation, and the reforms needed to reduce the negative impact of big government. On Twitter, he is @S_R_Larson and he writes regularly at Larson’s Political Economy on Substack.

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