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Category: Analysis

Fiscal Forecast Europe: ECB Will Soon Return to Money Printing

With a welfare state that dominates their budgets, European governments are exceedingly vulnerable to a recession. When tax revenue declines and entitlements force governments to spend more, the inevitable result is larger budget deficits. What will the ECB do in response to that?

Sven R. Larson April 13, 2023

Macron Sets the World on Fire With Statements on Taiwan

Did Macron speak in the name of Europe, or in the name of France? The key to Emmanuel Macron’s untimely declaration is perhaps to be found in his desire to conform to French opinion, still driven by an old Gaullist reflex.

Hélène de Lauzun April 12, 2023

Fiscal Forecast America: Update on Recession and Debt Crisis

If government size and employment rate had been the same in 2022 as they were in 2000, the cost of today’s government would have been $47,000 per employed person. That is a lot of money—until we do the same arithmetic with today’s government size and employment rate. Then the cost comes out to $59,700.

Sven R. Larson April 12, 2023

Male: Presumed Guilty

The 2021 law on Comprehensive Protection of Children and Adolescents against Violence distorted the basic meaning of lawmaking, leading to human tragedies, economic abuse, and child alienation.

Piotr Solarz March 30, 2023

Left-leaning Majority Hijacks Migration Vote

The final deal has “made the proposal even worse,” Swedish MEP Charlie Weimers said, denouncing it for laying the foundation for undemocratic migrant quotas while leaving the migratory pressure unchecked.

Tamás Orbán March 29, 2023

Vox’s Assault on the Political Center

The speech professor Tamames gave before Spain’s vote of no confidence presents VOX as the repository of Spain’s post-Franco, democratic general consensus.

Carlos Perona Calvete March 23, 2023

Banking Crisis: Déjà-Vu All Over Again?

Several news sources have raised the volume about a possible systemwide banking crisis. I am not going to contribute to that. In fact, we should all be careful about determining whether or not such a crisis is at hand.

Sven R. Larson March 22, 2023

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