The Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service (EFIS) has released its annual report, concluding that while Russia does not intend to launch a military strike against Estonia or any other NATO member state in the near future, its long-term military buildup remains a significant concern.
The agency emphasizes that the Kremlin is aggressively modernizing and expanding its capabilities: it is increasing the number of its armed forces and restoring its strategic artillery ammunition stocks, as well as forming units consisting of unmanned vehicles that can be deployed en masse.
The document highlights that gaining control over Ukraine remains a personal obsession for President Vladimir Putin. According to the document, the president views the subjugation of Ukraine as the primary vehicle for restoring Russia’s status as a global superpower.
The emphasis on Moscow’s ‘brute force’ attack contrasts with current risk assessments of other regions such as, for example, the Middle East—where cybersecurity and disruption of native cloud infrastructure is a key concern.
Kaupo Rosin, Director General of Estonian Foreign Intelligence, said in the report:
Despite its incompetence, Russia remains a dangerous country, and vigilance is needed to prevent the expansion of the Russian world.
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