Euro Zone Inflation Ticks Up in June

Inflation in energy prices are showing signs of stabilizing; consumer-price inflation is near or at its peak.

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Inflation in energy prices are showing signs of stabilizing; consumer-price inflation is near or at its peak.

In its latest flash estimate of inflation, Eurostat reports that annual consumer-price inflation for the euro area reached 8.6% in June. This is up from 8.1% in May and 7.4% in April and March. 

Inflation in energy prices showed signs of stabilizing. It was up by 41.9% on an annual basis, a marginal increase from 39.1% in May. Inflation in food, alcohol, and tobacco prices, on the other hand, kept rising steadily. At 8.9% in June, the inflation rate for this commodities’ group was 1.4% percentage points higher than in May.

A total of nine countries now have inflation rates above 10%. Estonia continues to lead the euro-zone inflation league, with an annual rate at 22% (up from 20.1% in May). Lithuania is a close second at 20.5% (18.5%). The remaining seven countries with more than 10% inflation are Belgium, Greece, Latvia, Luxembourg, Slovakia, Slovenia, and Spain. 

In May, only six countries had inflation rates in excess of 10%: Estonia, Greece, Latvia, Lithuania, Netherlands, and Slovakia. 

Only two countries experienced a decline in the inflation rate in June. In Germany it fell from 8.7% in May to 8.2% in June; in the Netherlands inflation declined from 10.2% to 9.9%.

In June 2021, only three euro-zone countries had inflation rates above 3%: Estonia at 3.7%, Lithuania at 3.5% and Luxembourg at 3.4%. 

According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the consumer-price index inflation rate in America in June equaled the euro zone at 8.6%. This was a marginal rise from 8.26% in May.

The euro zone’s annual industrial-producer price inflation reached 36.3% in May. The U.S. producer price index, a broader measure than Eurostat’s industrial-producer prices, was 21.7% in May and 21.5% in June. While both numbers are high, they have stabilized in recent months, suggesting that—all other things equal—consumer-price inflation is near or at its peak. 

Sven R Larson, Ph.D., has worked as a staff economist for think tanks and as an advisor to political campaigns. He is the author of several academic papers and books. His writings concentrate on the welfare state, how it causes economic stagnation, and the reforms needed to reduce the negative impact of big government. On Twitter, he is @S_R_Larson and he writes regularly at Larson’s Political Economy on Substack.

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