Category: Analysis

Why Chega Failed

Chega’s erratic behaviour may have contributed to their supporters not going to the polls on June 9.

Spain Finances Its Geopolitical Irrelevancy

Morocco’s economic growth appears to be part of an implicit international agreement, with the Spanish government actively approving—despite it going against Spanish interests.

Euros & Dollars: The Cash-Free Economy Won’t Last

After 20 years of trying to curb crime by getting rid of cash, the Swedes are beginning to realize that every economy needs cash—and that criminals are good at adjusting to circumstances.

Euros & Dollars: Trump’s Federal Reserve Plans, Part II

Euros & Dollars: Trump’s Federal Reserve Plans, Part II

The idea behind ending the independence of the Federal Reserve is brutally simple: deficit monetization.

May 1, 2024
Euros & Dollars: Trump’s Federal Reserve Plans, Part I

Euros & Dollars: Trump’s Federal Reserve Plans, Part I

The independence of the Federal Reserve is as essential as the independence of the U.S. Supreme Court.

April 30, 2024
Euros & Dollars: A Risk Premium on U.S. Debt?

Euros & Dollars: A Risk Premium on U.S. Debt?

At the start of 2024, there was a trend break on the market for sovereign debt that suggests investors may be asking a risk premium to buy U.S. government debt.

April 26, 2024
Euros & Dollars: Joe Biden’s Greedy Marxist Tax Hikes

Euros & Dollars: Joe Biden’s Greedy Marxist Tax Hikes

Joe Biden wants the ‘rich’ to pay their ‘fair share,’ but he never defines what the ‘fair share’ means. There is an ominous reason for that.

April 25, 2024
Euros & Dollars: The Irony of Bulgaria’s Euro Entry

Euros & Dollars: The Irony of Bulgaria’s Euro Entry

Bulgaria is on the cusp of joining the euro but has not yet set a firm accession date. They would be wise in waiting to give up their own currency.

April 24, 2024
How Orbán and Morawiecki Could Build Europe’s New Populist Bloc

How Orbán and Morawiecki Could Build Europe’s New Populist Bloc

At the very least, the ECR and ID groups will need to work more closely together to counter the “federalist” forces in the European Parliament.

April 23, 2024
Euros & Dollars: What Is Happening to the U.S. Yield Curve?

Euros & Dollars: What Is Happening to the U.S. Yield Curve?

If this odd change in the yield curve continues, it will turn into an open vote of no confidence in U.S. government debt.

April 23, 2024
Is the French Right the Silliest in the World?

Is the French Right the Silliest in the World?

As in the endless disputes between brothers and sisters, we end up forgetting who started it and who said what.

April 20, 2024
Euros & Dollars: German Economy in Dire Straits

Euros & Dollars: German Economy in Dire Straits

What looks like a mild recession on the surface could turn into something much more serious.

April 19, 2024
Euros & Dollars: Making Sense of Euro Zone Inflation

Euros & Dollars: Making Sense of Euro Zone Inflation

Why is it so hard for the ECB to admit that inflation is a monetary phenomenon?

April 18, 2024
Euros & Dollars: Cost of U.S. Debt Keeps Rising

Euros & Dollars: Cost of U.S. Debt Keeps Rising

Buried in a pile of technical data are pieces of information that suggest investors are getting seriously worried about the growing pile of U.S. debt.

April 17, 2024
Euros & Dollars: Making Sense of U.S. Inflation

Euros & Dollars: Making Sense of U.S. Inflation

There are many pundits out there having opinions on inflation. But what do the latest figures really mean? Is inflation here to stay?

April 16, 2024