Category: Analysis

Why the Czechs Should Reject the Euro

On the surface, everything looks good for the Czechs to join the euro. But look a bit closer, and the picture changes dramatically.

The Impeachment of Geir H. Haarde, Part II: <br>A Flawed and Biased Process

The Impeachment of Geir H. Haarde, Part II: <br>A Flawed and Biased Process

In Part II of this series, Hannes Gissurarson lays out the case that Geir Haarde was unfairly singled out and blamed for the bank collapse in a flawed and biased process.

The Impeachment of Geir H. Haarde, Part I: Political Machinations and Legal Manoeuvres

The Impeachment of Geir H. Haarde, Part I: Political Machinations and Legal Manoeuvres

Hannes H. Gissurarson argues that the whole impeachment process was unjust and that Geir Haarde’s conviction on a fairly trivial charge was legally groundless. 

Fiscal Forecast Europe: Stop the Taxman!

Fiscal Forecast Europe: Stop the Taxman!

The overall trend in the European economy points in the wrong direction. Therefore, it is a very bad idea to raise any taxes in the EU. It does not matter that the taxes the EU has proposed will fail to generate the revenue that the MEP tax grabbers are hoping for.

May 18, 2023
Finance and Green Expropriation

Finance and Green Expropriation

Jamie Dimon, the CEO of J.P. Morgan Chase, the U.S.’s largest bank, has suggested that in order to allow Green Energy to develop properly, the government may need to seize private property.

Fiscal Forecast America: How a Debt Default Happens

Fiscal Forecast America: How a Debt Default Happens

Politicians are known for two things: they never do what they should, and they always do what they shouldn’t. First, they do not prevent a debt crisis, then they aggravate it.

May 17, 2023
Fiscal Forecast Europe: Macron in Fiscal Shackles

Fiscal Forecast Europe: Macron in Fiscal Shackles

France is at a fork in the road, where her political leaders have shrinking maneuverability, where they are running out of time, and where they cannot afford to repeat the mistakes of the past.

May 11, 2023
Fiscal Forecast America: The Debt Limit Drama

Fiscal Forecast America: The Debt Limit Drama

Democrats and Republicans are bickering over the debt ceiling. They will reach an agreement before the June 1st “default” date, but it will only be a stopgap measure. At some point, Congress will face such high costs for its debt that not even the most optimistic investors can trust the U.S. Treasury any longer.

May 10, 2023
Fiscal Forecast Europe: ECB Silent on New Fiscal Crisis

Fiscal Forecast Europe: ECB Silent on New Fiscal Crisis

While the stars are lining up for another fiscal crisis in Europe, the ECB’s chief economist fails to even mention the threat. Is the ECB ignorant on what is coming down the pike?

May 4, 2023
French Economy Downgraded by Fitch Financial Agency

French Economy Downgraded by Fitch Financial Agency

The downgrade by Fitch is a slap in the face for the French government, and especially for Emmanuel Macron.

Fiscal Forecast America: Media Wrong on GDP Growth

Fiscal Forecast America: Media Wrong on GDP Growth

The official story is that the U.S. economy grew by 1.1% in the first quarter. This number is heavily modified and tells us nothing. We have the real numbers.

May 3, 2023
The Central European Paradox

The Central European Paradox

Twenty years ago, Central Europe had the lowest birth rate in the EU. The region has seen the greatest improvement in recent years. At the same time, female employment is also at its peak, the at-risk-of-poverty rate is much lower, and real earnings are rising steadily.

May 1, 2023
European Parliament Divided Over Chat Control

European Parliament Divided Over Chat Control

While the EPP tried to reassure colleagues that the proposed legislation preventing child sexual abuse does not violate the personal privacy of EU citizens, many MEPs remain unconvinced, calling for different approaches.

May 1, 2023