Category: Analysis

Why the Czechs Should Reject the Euro

On the surface, everything looks good for the Czechs to join the euro. But look a bit closer, and the picture changes dramatically.

EU Debt Crisis: Germany Leads the Way

The German government again suspends its debt brake. So far, their country has been saved by its formidable export machine. Those days are gone.

Cleaning Up European Energy

Strategic and economic realities are forcing Europe to moderate its energy policy experiment.

European Parliament Divided Over Chat Control

European Parliament Divided Over Chat Control

While the EPP tried to reassure colleagues that the proposed legislation preventing child sexual abuse does not violate the personal privacy of EU citizens, many MEPs remain unconvinced, calling for different approaches.

May 1, 2023
The Finnish Centre Right’s Victory: Is the Tide Turning in Europe?

The Finnish Centre Right’s Victory: Is the Tide Turning in Europe?

The continent is decidedly moving towards the Right. This could mean that the current balance of power in Brussels could radically change in favor of the center-Right in 2024.

April 30, 2023
Fiscal Forecast Europe: Signs of Stagflation

Fiscal Forecast Europe: Signs of Stagflation

New data suggests an elevated risk for stagflation in Europe. Policymakers beware!

April 26, 2023
Fiscal Forecast America: Farewell to State Independence

Fiscal Forecast America: Farewell to State Independence

America’s states are supposed to be sovereign jurisdictions. Yet when the federal government is their main source of revenue, how independent are they really?

April 26, 2023
Fiscal Forecast Europe: Financial Markets Bad for Tax Revenue

Fiscal Forecast Europe: Financial Markets Bad for Tax Revenue

Financial markets are important to governments that need a lot of tax revenue to pay for their welfare states. The problem with taxes levied on financial markets is that they generate unstable revenue.

April 20, 2023
Fiscal Forecast America: Financial Markets and the Federal Budget

Fiscal Forecast America: Financial Markets and the Federal Budget

The more a tax system relies on financial markets, the more volatile and unpredictable those tax revenues will become. There is no doubt that the U.S. government is experiencing that in real time in 2023.

April 19, 2023
Beyond TikTok: Let’s Talk About Another Chinese Trojan Horse

Beyond TikTok: Let’s Talk About Another Chinese Trojan Horse

As dangerous as TikTok is, it’s not the only Chinese creation that deserves closer attention.

April 17, 2023
Fiscal Forecast Europe: ECB Will Soon Return to Money Printing

Fiscal Forecast Europe: ECB Will Soon Return to Money Printing

With a welfare state that dominates their budgets, European governments are exceedingly vulnerable to a recession. When tax revenue declines and entitlements force governments to spend more, the inevitable result is larger budget deficits. What will the ECB do in response to that?

April 13, 2023
Macron Sets the World on Fire With Statements on Taiwan

Macron Sets the World on Fire With Statements on Taiwan

Did Macron speak in the name of Europe, or in the name of France? The key to Emmanuel Macron’s untimely declaration is perhaps to be found in his desire to conform to French opinion, still driven by an old Gaullist reflex.

April 12, 2023
Fiscal Forecast America: Update on Recession and Debt Crisis

Fiscal Forecast America: Update on Recession and Debt Crisis

If government size and employment rate had been the same in 2022 as they were in 2000, the cost of today’s government would have been $47,000 per employed person. That is a lot of money—until we do the same arithmetic with today’s government size and employment rate. Then the cost comes out to $59,700.

April 12, 2023
Migration: A Key Issue for Greek and Turkish Elections

Migration: A Key Issue for Greek and Turkish Elections

Ever since 2015, migration has been a central issue for most European nations. It is expected to become increasingly debated

April 10, 2023
Male: Presumed Guilty

Male: Presumed Guilty

The 2021 law on Comprehensive Protection of Children and Adolescents against Violence distorted the basic meaning of lawmaking, leading to human tragedies, economic abuse, and child alienation.

March 30, 2023